Five Reasons Russia Will Invade Ukraine
Jan 14, 2022 5:03:34 GMT -5
Post by Midnight on Jan 14, 2022 5:03:34 GMT -5
Five Reasons Russia Will Invade Ukraine
BY AMERICAN CONSEQUENCES
THURSDAY, JAN 13, 2022 - 14:02
By Kim Iskyan
Russian troops massing at the Ukraine border ratchets up the possibility of war...
But will Russian President Vladimir Putin invade his neighbor and former fellow Soviet state, again?
The analysts say no...
"A Russian invasion of Ukraine could be Vladimir Putin's downfall," warned thinktank Atlantic Council last month.
"Russia unlikely to invade Ukraine despite ratcheting tensions," opined the Moscow Times in November.
And geopolitical analysis company GZERO Media explained... "Is Putin going to invade Ukraine... again? In a word: No... The costs of an invasion, both human and material, almost certainly outweigh any conceivable benefits."
But when everyone says, "it won't happen," that means there's a greater-than-zero probability of "it will happen."
That probability is the risk – and opportunity – investors should focus on.
Earlier this week, Russia sat down with NATO to discuss whether the Western military alliance will expand to include Ukraine. The talks ended with an agreement to... talk more later.
And what lurks beneath the surface is something a whole lot bigger.
"Vladimir Putin wants Joe Biden and NATO leaders to redraw the security map of Europe by promising that Ukraine, Georgia, and other Russian neighbors will never join NATO... [to] in effect, redivide Europe into Western and Russian spheres of influence," explains GZERO.
Here are five reasons why the conventional-wisdom calculus of western analysts, investors, and armchair military strategists that Russia will stay out of Ukraine could be terribly wrong...
Continued at link
BY AMERICAN CONSEQUENCES
THURSDAY, JAN 13, 2022 - 14:02
By Kim Iskyan
Russian troops massing at the Ukraine border ratchets up the possibility of war...
But will Russian President Vladimir Putin invade his neighbor and former fellow Soviet state, again?
The analysts say no...
"A Russian invasion of Ukraine could be Vladimir Putin's downfall," warned thinktank Atlantic Council last month.
"Russia unlikely to invade Ukraine despite ratcheting tensions," opined the Moscow Times in November.
And geopolitical analysis company GZERO Media explained... "Is Putin going to invade Ukraine... again? In a word: No... The costs of an invasion, both human and material, almost certainly outweigh any conceivable benefits."
But when everyone says, "it won't happen," that means there's a greater-than-zero probability of "it will happen."
That probability is the risk – and opportunity – investors should focus on.
Earlier this week, Russia sat down with NATO to discuss whether the Western military alliance will expand to include Ukraine. The talks ended with an agreement to... talk more later.
And what lurks beneath the surface is something a whole lot bigger.
"Vladimir Putin wants Joe Biden and NATO leaders to redraw the security map of Europe by promising that Ukraine, Georgia, and other Russian neighbors will never join NATO... [to] in effect, redivide Europe into Western and Russian spheres of influence," explains GZERO.
Here are five reasons why the conventional-wisdom calculus of western analysts, investors, and armchair military strategists that Russia will stay out of Ukraine could be terribly wrong...
Continued at link