Russian expert warns of large-scale war in ME
Nov 25, 2012 14:48:46 GMT -5
Post by PrisonerOfHope on Nov 25, 2012 14:48:46 GMT -5
*Russian expert warns of possibility of large-scale war in Middle East*
Nov 24, 2012 22:17 Moscow Time
In an interview with the Voice of Russia, Russian analyst Konstantin
Sivkov said: "Deploying these missiles in Turkey will be dangerous for
Syrian military planes -- this is obvious. A lesser obvious thing is
that Turkey is getting ready for a war against Syria. If an attack on
Syria from the territory of Turkey does take place, this will most
likely be an attack not of the Turkish army, but of NATO's forces."
"The Middle East is getting ready for a large-sale battle which will
very likely affect the Russian part of the Caucasus, and this, in its
turn, will be reflected on the entire Russia," Mr. Sivkov added.
Deployment of Patriots in Turkey means no-fly zone for Syria
The planned deployment by NATO countries of Patriot air defence systems
on Turkey's Syria border will actually amount to the imposition of a
no-fly zone for Syrian aircraft in circumvention of the UN Security Council.
The opinion has been voiced by the leading research fellow of the
Russian Institute for Oriental Studies, Vladimir Kudelev.
He feels that Patriot systems may drastically influence the fighting
between the government troops and the opposition in the north of Syria,
since the militants will thus get a 200 kilometre - to 250
kilometre-wide "umbrella" all along the Syrian-Turkish border.
The deployment of Patriots would also undermine the role of the UN
Security Council, which, experts feel, would hardly authorize any
proposal to impose a no-fly zone for Syrian aircraft.
NATO shows great interest in deployment of Patriot missile air-defence
systems
Plans for the deployment of the Patriot Missile Air-Defence Systems on
the Turkish-Syrian border are defensive in character, NATO Secretary
General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said in a telephone talk with Russia's
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. Earlier Moscow voiced its concern over
the militarization of that region.
The above-mentioned telephone talk was held on the initiative of the
NATO Secretary General. Moscow says that Rasmussen wanted to clarify the
situation with the deployment of the Patriot Missile Air-Defence Systems
on the Turkish territory. Ankara filed a relevant request to NATO on
November 21st. The information that appeared in the press more than once
last month said that Turkey was making preparations for appealing to
Brussels. Possibly, acting in this way Ankara wanted to indirectly put
pressure on its NATO allies. As you know, till recently NATO was
strongly against getting involved in a conflict between Turkey and
Syria, a political analyst, Stanislav Tarasov, says.
"They started asking NATO to interfere in the conflict, using the
Alliance's Clause No.5 -- the defence of territories. Which means that
they wanted to drag NATO into the conflict and thus, to ensure its
military presence in the region. NATO said "No". Then they resorted to
Clause No. 4 -- the provision of help".
NATO said that it would consider Turkey's request without any delay. And
Germany's Foreign Ministry said that Turkey's request should be met
without any delay. Media reports even said that Berlin was ready not
only to provide the Patriot Missile Air-Defence Systems to Turkey but
also to send 120 Bundeswehr soldiers to the region. Turkey has not only
moved its forces to its border with Syria but has also approved a law
enabling it to bring its troops into the territory of its neighbor in
case of a military threat. The reason for such a large- scale
militarization was firing missiles into the Syrian territory, which
official Damascus called an accident. Any escalation of this conflict is
inadmissible, Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on November
23rd. Moscow is well aware of Turkey's concern as well as of NATO's
arguments but what is important in this case is the potential, not
intentions -- that is why any militarization on the Turkish-Syrian
border may lead to an uncontrollable turn of events, the Russian
minister said.
"Any accumulation of arms creates certain risks and urges all those who
would like like to resort to the exterior factor of force to finally use
it. We believe that this will not happen, and that all outside players
will display maximum responsibility in assessing the on-going
developments in the region'.
In the diplomatic language this means that the events in Syria may start
developing according to the Libyan Scenario, experts say. As you know,
the opposition is losing its support, and Assad has a military
superiority in Syria now, an Oriental studies expert, Azhdar Kurtov, says.
"The Syrian-Turkish border has a sophisticated mountain relief. Under
such conditions, combat aviation is a very effective method of fighting
against the rebels. Thus, if Turkey deploys the Patriot Missile
Air-Defence Systems on its territory, it will be able to block Syria
using its own aviation in the border regions on its own territory, which
may change the turn of military developments in the region. When the
overthrowing of the Gaddafi regime was under way, a no-fly zone was
established over Libya. Something like that may be created near the
Turkish-Syrian border".
Moscow's fears may also be caused by something that is not directly
linked with the crisis in Syria, a Turkish political analyst, Barysh
Adybelli, says.
"Moscow believes that in case the Patriot Misslile Air-Defence Systems
are deployed in Turkey, they can be used as one of the elements of the
early warning system - that is, as one of the elements of the European
missile defence system which the USA is ardently defending by now".
Official Ankara reacted to Moscow's statements on November 23rd.
Turkey's Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan called Moscow's reaction to a
possible deployment of the Patriot Missile Air-Defence systems
erroneous, adding that Russia is trying to present Turkey's domestic
issue as its own problem. Fears remain though.
Rasmussen, Lavrov discuss Turkey`s request for Patriot missiles
NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen assured Russia's Foreign Minister
Sergei Lavrov that plans of the alliance to deploy Patriot air defense
missiles in Turkey are of purely defensive.
Mr. Rasmussen and Mr. Lavrov had a phone conversation on Friday
initiated by NATO chief.
A statement released by the Russian Foreign Ministry after the talks
says that Mr. Lavrov expressed his concerns over NATO`s plans to place
Patriot air missiles on the Turkish-Syrian border.
He mentioned Russia's initiative to help Ankara and Damascus be able to
discuss all differences directly amid the increasing military potential
in the region in order to avoid incidents.
Russian reaction to Patriot missile deployment 'erroneous' - Turkish PM
Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan said that Russia's reaction to the
deployment of the Patriot air defense systems on the border with Syria,
which Ankara requested from the NATO on Wednesday, was "erroneous".
Answering the question about the Moscow's reaction to Turkey's request
to NATO, the official representative of the Foreign Ministry of the
Russian Federation Alexander Lukashevich noted on Thursday that Russia
considered the militarization of the Syrian-Turkish border to be an
alarm signal. "I believe Russia's statement to be very erroneous", - the
Turkish Prime Minister said in this regard to accompanying journalists
on his return from Pakistan from the summit of the "Islamic group of eight".
Russia warns Turkey against Patriot missiles
Russia has expressed its concern over the militarization of the
Turkish-Syrian border, the VoR correspondent Polina Chernitsa has cited
the Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich who commented on
Turkey's request to deploy Patriot missiles on the Syrian border.
Moscow would like Turkey to contribute to the beginning of the
inter-Syria dialogue rather than flex its military muscles, Russian
Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said on Thursday.
"The militarization of the Syrian-Turkish border is a dismal signal,"
Lukashevich said, referring to Turkey's recent request to deploy Patriot
anti-missile systems to protect its border with Syria.
He urged Turkey to interact more with the Syrian opposition so as to
help start the inter-Syria dialogue as soon as possible.
Turkey already hosted the complex twice. in 1991 and 2003 during the two
Iraqi campaigns but never used it.
Voice of Russia, Interfax, RIA
english.ruvr.ru/2012_11_24/Russian-expert-warns-of-possibility...
Nov 24, 2012 22:17 Moscow Time
In an interview with the Voice of Russia, Russian analyst Konstantin
Sivkov said: "Deploying these missiles in Turkey will be dangerous for
Syrian military planes -- this is obvious. A lesser obvious thing is
that Turkey is getting ready for a war against Syria. If an attack on
Syria from the territory of Turkey does take place, this will most
likely be an attack not of the Turkish army, but of NATO's forces."
"The Middle East is getting ready for a large-sale battle which will
very likely affect the Russian part of the Caucasus, and this, in its
turn, will be reflected on the entire Russia," Mr. Sivkov added.
Deployment of Patriots in Turkey means no-fly zone for Syria
The planned deployment by NATO countries of Patriot air defence systems
on Turkey's Syria border will actually amount to the imposition of a
no-fly zone for Syrian aircraft in circumvention of the UN Security Council.
The opinion has been voiced by the leading research fellow of the
Russian Institute for Oriental Studies, Vladimir Kudelev.
He feels that Patriot systems may drastically influence the fighting
between the government troops and the opposition in the north of Syria,
since the militants will thus get a 200 kilometre - to 250
kilometre-wide "umbrella" all along the Syrian-Turkish border.
The deployment of Patriots would also undermine the role of the UN
Security Council, which, experts feel, would hardly authorize any
proposal to impose a no-fly zone for Syrian aircraft.
NATO shows great interest in deployment of Patriot missile air-defence
systems
Plans for the deployment of the Patriot Missile Air-Defence Systems on
the Turkish-Syrian border are defensive in character, NATO Secretary
General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said in a telephone talk with Russia's
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. Earlier Moscow voiced its concern over
the militarization of that region.
The above-mentioned telephone talk was held on the initiative of the
NATO Secretary General. Moscow says that Rasmussen wanted to clarify the
situation with the deployment of the Patriot Missile Air-Defence Systems
on the Turkish territory. Ankara filed a relevant request to NATO on
November 21st. The information that appeared in the press more than once
last month said that Turkey was making preparations for appealing to
Brussels. Possibly, acting in this way Ankara wanted to indirectly put
pressure on its NATO allies. As you know, till recently NATO was
strongly against getting involved in a conflict between Turkey and
Syria, a political analyst, Stanislav Tarasov, says.
"They started asking NATO to interfere in the conflict, using the
Alliance's Clause No.5 -- the defence of territories. Which means that
they wanted to drag NATO into the conflict and thus, to ensure its
military presence in the region. NATO said "No". Then they resorted to
Clause No. 4 -- the provision of help".
NATO said that it would consider Turkey's request without any delay. And
Germany's Foreign Ministry said that Turkey's request should be met
without any delay. Media reports even said that Berlin was ready not
only to provide the Patriot Missile Air-Defence Systems to Turkey but
also to send 120 Bundeswehr soldiers to the region. Turkey has not only
moved its forces to its border with Syria but has also approved a law
enabling it to bring its troops into the territory of its neighbor in
case of a military threat. The reason for such a large- scale
militarization was firing missiles into the Syrian territory, which
official Damascus called an accident. Any escalation of this conflict is
inadmissible, Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on November
23rd. Moscow is well aware of Turkey's concern as well as of NATO's
arguments but what is important in this case is the potential, not
intentions -- that is why any militarization on the Turkish-Syrian
border may lead to an uncontrollable turn of events, the Russian
minister said.
"Any accumulation of arms creates certain risks and urges all those who
would like like to resort to the exterior factor of force to finally use
it. We believe that this will not happen, and that all outside players
will display maximum responsibility in assessing the on-going
developments in the region'.
In the diplomatic language this means that the events in Syria may start
developing according to the Libyan Scenario, experts say. As you know,
the opposition is losing its support, and Assad has a military
superiority in Syria now, an Oriental studies expert, Azhdar Kurtov, says.
"The Syrian-Turkish border has a sophisticated mountain relief. Under
such conditions, combat aviation is a very effective method of fighting
against the rebels. Thus, if Turkey deploys the Patriot Missile
Air-Defence Systems on its territory, it will be able to block Syria
using its own aviation in the border regions on its own territory, which
may change the turn of military developments in the region. When the
overthrowing of the Gaddafi regime was under way, a no-fly zone was
established over Libya. Something like that may be created near the
Turkish-Syrian border".
Moscow's fears may also be caused by something that is not directly
linked with the crisis in Syria, a Turkish political analyst, Barysh
Adybelli, says.
"Moscow believes that in case the Patriot Misslile Air-Defence Systems
are deployed in Turkey, they can be used as one of the elements of the
early warning system - that is, as one of the elements of the European
missile defence system which the USA is ardently defending by now".
Official Ankara reacted to Moscow's statements on November 23rd.
Turkey's Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan called Moscow's reaction to a
possible deployment of the Patriot Missile Air-Defence systems
erroneous, adding that Russia is trying to present Turkey's domestic
issue as its own problem. Fears remain though.
Rasmussen, Lavrov discuss Turkey`s request for Patriot missiles
NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen assured Russia's Foreign Minister
Sergei Lavrov that plans of the alliance to deploy Patriot air defense
missiles in Turkey are of purely defensive.
Mr. Rasmussen and Mr. Lavrov had a phone conversation on Friday
initiated by NATO chief.
A statement released by the Russian Foreign Ministry after the talks
says that Mr. Lavrov expressed his concerns over NATO`s plans to place
Patriot air missiles on the Turkish-Syrian border.
He mentioned Russia's initiative to help Ankara and Damascus be able to
discuss all differences directly amid the increasing military potential
in the region in order to avoid incidents.
Russian reaction to Patriot missile deployment 'erroneous' - Turkish PM
Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan said that Russia's reaction to the
deployment of the Patriot air defense systems on the border with Syria,
which Ankara requested from the NATO on Wednesday, was "erroneous".
Answering the question about the Moscow's reaction to Turkey's request
to NATO, the official representative of the Foreign Ministry of the
Russian Federation Alexander Lukashevich noted on Thursday that Russia
considered the militarization of the Syrian-Turkish border to be an
alarm signal. "I believe Russia's statement to be very erroneous", - the
Turkish Prime Minister said in this regard to accompanying journalists
on his return from Pakistan from the summit of the "Islamic group of eight".
Russia warns Turkey against Patriot missiles
Russia has expressed its concern over the militarization of the
Turkish-Syrian border, the VoR correspondent Polina Chernitsa has cited
the Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich who commented on
Turkey's request to deploy Patriot missiles on the Syrian border.
Moscow would like Turkey to contribute to the beginning of the
inter-Syria dialogue rather than flex its military muscles, Russian
Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said on Thursday.
"The militarization of the Syrian-Turkish border is a dismal signal,"
Lukashevich said, referring to Turkey's recent request to deploy Patriot
anti-missile systems to protect its border with Syria.
He urged Turkey to interact more with the Syrian opposition so as to
help start the inter-Syria dialogue as soon as possible.
Turkey already hosted the complex twice. in 1991 and 2003 during the two
Iraqi campaigns but never used it.
Voice of Russia, Interfax, RIA
english.ruvr.ru/2012_11_24/Russian-expert-warns-of-possibility...
